Okay, so what part of this pretense from NYT’s The Upshot―
History suggests that each party’s eventual nominee will emerge from 2015 in one of the top two or three positions, as measured by endorsements, fund-raising and polling.
―isn’t seemingly self-evident?
Nonetheless, it is an interesting toy, tracking various data sources according to reasonable pretenses, but pretty much from the outset it seems as if the New York Times is overplaying its hand.
If we might suggest to keep an eye on it, and see how well they do, we might also suspect it is designed to pitch itself as somehow successful, since its job is to follow trends toward a conclusive resolution.
Still, there are plenty of people you know who need color graphics in order to figure out what’s going on. Who knows, maybe this will help.
“Who’s Winning the Presidential Campaign?” The Upshot. 22 Septemer 2015.